Stock market market today: Dow advances while Wall Street looks at the only thing that could derail the drop in the rate
Staff contracts were little changed on Sunday evening while investors are preparing for new inflation data and political disorders that could undulate on the bond market.
This occurs while the report on the dismal jobs on Friday has reached fears of recession while locking ratings for a rate drop later this month in the Federal Reserve.
The term contracts linked to the industrial average of Dow Jones increased by 11 points, or 0.02%. Tower contracts on S&P 500 increased by 0.02% and the NASDAQ’s term contracts added 0.10%.
The yield on the 10 -year treasure checked 1 base point less than 4.076%. The US dollar increased by 0.11% compared to the euro and up 0.70% against the Yen after the Japanese Prime Minister announced that he would resign after a year in power.
More political disorders in the fourth world economy could track the bond market while investors evaluate whether the next leader will lean towards tax discipline or more debauchery.
Likewise, the French government faces a vote with confidence on Monday after the compulsory vigilantes sent higher French returns to expectations of more importance and no progress on the reintegration of deficits.
US oil prices increased by 0.23% to $ 62.01 per barrel, and Brent Brut added 0.23% to $ 65.63. It is despite the main members of OPEC + agree on another production hike intended to grasp more market share.
Gold dropped 0.55% to reach $ 3,633 per ounce, but still oscillating record heights after recession fears sent higher security assets last week.
Other recession signals have hidden in the latest data on jobs. On Sunday, the chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, Mark Zandi, stresses that most American industries lose jobs rather than adding them for several months, warning that “this only happens when the economy is in recession”.
Such low labor market essentially guaranteed a drop in rate of the Fed. According to CME’s Fedwatch tool, Wall Street is certain that a kind of cup arrives when the central bank announces its political decision on September 17. The only question is whether it will be 25 base points or 50 base points. Currently, a probability of 92% of a reduction of a quarter of a point is at the price.
Perhaps the only thing that could drop a rate of doubt is a surprise increase in inflation. The effect of President Donald Trump’s prices on inflation has been deaf than expected, but investors will receive crucial updates.
On Wednesday, the producer price index for August will be published and economists expect an increase of 0.3% per month, cooling compared to the overvoltage of 0.9% in July.
Thursday, the consumer price index is due and Wall Street sees a 0.3% gain, accelerating compared to the rate of 0.2% a month earlier. On an annual basis, the IPC is also seen in the process of warming up, with the month of August should see an annual rate of 2.9%, against 2.7% in July.
But inflation in basic consumer prices should remain stable at a monthly rate of 0.3% and an annual rate of 3.1%. However, the IPC and basic CPI would continue to be greater than the 2% target of the Fed.
Meanwhile, the Governor of the Fed, Lisa Cook, fights against Trump’s attempt to dismiss her, and a judge hearing the case could make a decision in the coming week, adding if she will be able to participate in the FOMC meeting.
In addition, the Senate could vote on the appointment by Trump of the economic adviser of the White House, Stephen Miran, to the Council of Governors of the Fed, allowing him to participate in the meeting.
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