Did Putin flash in talks with Trump in Alaska? Some experts say it’s very improbable
There was a primordial question that came out the American summit of Russia in Alaska on Friday evening, difficult to answer: Russian president Vladimir Putin was blinked?
While the American president Donald Trump burned the telephone lines on Saturday in talks with the Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the European leaders, the rather vague concepts which dwell following the short ambiguous press conference involving the two leaders strengthened in a “non” company.
Trump entered the raised challenges by saying that it would be very upset if Russia did not accept – or proposed – a cease -fire.
He came out by saying that there is no agreement before there was an agreement and that the two leaders have made progress towards peace. The American president seems to have abandoned the concept of preliminary ceasefire in favor of a kind of complete peace regulation.
This has always been one of Moscow’s main requests.
“There was no mention of the term ceasefire,” said Michael Carpenter, former American ambassador and permanent representative of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe.
“There was obviously no agreement. I did not expect an agreement because, frankly, I said that the fundamentals do not align here – namely Russia wants the subjugation of Ukraine, and President Zelenskyy will not allow the capitulation of his country.”
European leaders have favored the notion of ceasefire and even a strengthening of Ukraine with a kind of presence of Western troops which would discourage Russia from renewing war at a given time in the future.
The houseDid Putin triumph over Trump at the top of Alaska?
What did the Trump-Putin summit achieve-and what then comes for Ukraine? The main journalist of the CBC defense, Murray Brewster, Helms this episode focused on the security of the house, with a debriefing on the sit between the American and Russian presidents in Alaska; A dive to find out if a defense divorce from the United States is possible; The High General of Canada on participation in a ceasefire in Ukraine; And how democracies can look to the past to combat today’s disinformation.
Carpenter, speaking on CBC radio The house On Saturday morning, said that it was clear that Putin remained on all her war objectives and requirements, including no membership in Ukraine in the organization of the North Atlantic Treaty, no Western troop in the country and a ceiling on the size of the Ukrainian army.
“And there was really no way that President Trump could square that with what he heard from European leaders and President Zelenskyy,” said Carpenter.
Trump said on the way back of Alaska that one of the next steps will be for a top of three involving Zelenskyy and Putin. He laid the foundations by inviting Zelenskyy to the White House on Monday for preliminary talks.
“A ceasefire in Ukraine must be more than a break”
Defense and foreign policy experts agree that external monitors and international security guarantees for Ukraine are the only means of a cease -fire – or even a full -fledged peace regulation – between Russia and Ukraine would have a chance of success.
And there was no indication of Putin on Friday that he was ready to accept something like that.
Benjamin Jensen, principal researcher at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, DC, said that Moscow has historically used the ceasefrometer as a way to position forces on the battlefield only as a way to seek a long-term peace.
US President Donald Trump met Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska to try to find a way to end Ukraine, but as David Common of CBC explains, it will not be easy to sail in the maximalist war objectives of Russia.
“To give the agreement of the teeth, negotiators should define clear and automatic triggers which would take effect immediately if Russia violates the cease-fire, ensuring that any violation causes predictable and growing costs,” said Jensen in an assessment written before the Alaska summit.
“Finally, even under a truce, NATO and Western states must maintain solid commitments to Ukraine’s defense capacities by training, equipment and guarantee of interoperability between Allied forces so that Moscow understands that renewed aggression will respond to immediate and credible resistance.”
After the invasion and annexation of Crimea of Russia in 2014 and the launch of a proxy war in the two eastern oblasts of Ukraine (provinces), the two parties, with the help of the European nations, concluded agreements – known as Minsk Agreements – to end the fights.
“Chess as Minsk illustrate that wave areas and unarmed monitors do not stop hostilities,” said Jensen.
“A ceasefire in Ukraine must be more than a break. It needs application in the land, sea, air, cyber and space areas supported by robust sanctions and defense commitments.”
In March, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer proposed a peacekeeping force made up of several NATO countries, including Canada, but he seems to be in a rear burner for the moment.
Many problems are at stake
Starmer’s call met with a warm response to Ottawa, where just before the federal elections, the Minister of Defense at the time, Bill Blair said that the government was “ready and able to contribute the troops if there was a cease-fire.
The best military commander in Canada said this week in an interview broadcast on Saturday on CBC radio The house This planning of such a force is well advanced.
But the defense chief of staff Jennie Carignan said that the critical problems were still at stake.
What kind of force? How much should it be strongly armed? Other questions such as the question of whether the coalition troops simply monitor or have the power to apply the ceasefire must also be settled, if there is a cessation of hostilities.
“There are a lot of unknown at the moment, but one thing is certain, it is that they will need a requirement for training and development for the Ukrainian forces to assume their own security,” said Carignan. “We are already there in terms of support for Ukraine. This will therefore continue, but the rest is currently under development.”
Canada, the United Kingdom and the United States carried out troops conducting military and security forces in Ukraine before the complete Russian invasion in February 2022. These forces were withdrawn with the start of major fights.
Last spring, the Operations Commander of the Canadian Army, the lieutenant-general. Steve Boivin, said in an interview with CBC News that staff shortages could handicap a peacekeeping commitment, depending on the type of commitment that the federal government is considering.
The army has struggled to recruit, train and retain members in recent years. Senior Canadian Defense officials admitted that they were 12,722 staff members – both regular and reserve.
Carignan was asked if Canada had the capacity to be able to carry out a peacekeeping mission in Ukraine.
“It depends, once again, what are the requirements, where we could contribute,” she said while stressing that, in the end, it is a decision for Prime Minister Mark Carney and his cabinet to be taken.
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