US President Donald Trump at a press conference at the end of the NATO summit on July 12, 2018.
Bernd von Jutrczenka dpa | picture agreement | Getty Images
US President-elect Donald Trump will return to the White House on Monday, and much of the world is watching with bated breath.
The prospect of unpredictable foreign and trade policies, especially the threat of global trade tariffs of 10-20%, has caused concern around the world and disrupted financial markets. But Trump’s behavior and his “America First” policies are not universally feared.
Instead, many countries are welcoming a new era that is being called “Trump 2.0.”
“Trump’s return is worrying America’s long-time allies, but no one else,” the European Council on Foreign Relations think tank said. international research which found that China and Russia were more optimistic about returning to the Trump administration than their long-standing allies in Europe and Asia.
“Many think that Trump will not be good for America but that he will bring peace or reduce conflicts in Ukraine, the Middle East and US-China relations,” the survey of more than 28,000 people in 24 countries found.
“In countries from India and China to Turkey and Brazil, more respondents think Trump will be good for America, their country and world peace than they think he will be bad for them,” ECFR said of its findings.
The survey showed that respondents in India, Saudi Arabia and Russia were the most optimistic about Trump’s return to office, as it was good for US citizens and their countries.
About 60% of Russian respondents felt that Trump’s election was good for US citizens and 49% felt it was good for Russia.
Recently, 46% of Chinese respondents felt that Trump’s return was good for China. This is despite Trump threatening to impose tariffs of 60% to 100% on Chinese imports, a move that could damage China’s economy and retaliate, possibly raising prices for US consumers.
Russian soldiers near a US M2 Bradley fighting vehicle captured in Ukraine.
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The favorable opinion of Trump among the original BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) – and the belief that a peaceful world can exist thanks to his leadership – was much higher than the EU, the UK and the South. Korea, where only 11% of citizens surveyed see Trump’s presidency as a good thing for their future.
Just for a little fun, only 15% of British respondents thought that Trump would be good for the UK. “special relationship.”
“When Donald Trump returns to the White House, most of the world will welcome him. In Europe, anxiety is spreading, but people in many other countries feel comfortable or concerned about Trump’s second term,” ECFR said. survey, conducted in November.
“US allies in Europe and South Korea are optimistic about the incoming president – reflecting the weakening of the political ‘West’,” it added.
Trump gave power
Geopolitical analysts say things will be different with President Trump this time, and the world should be ready.
Not only that he is strengthened by the size of his victory in the 2024 electionsstrong support for the united Republican party and returned to the White House with a lot of knowledge, he also surrounded himself with loyal people who are closely related to him, said Ian Bremmer, founder and president of the Eurasia Group.
Bremmer told CNBC that Trump 2.0 will see a president with more power and sway than before, while the West and the Group of Seven – a group that includes the UK, Canada and Germany – lose power.
“Trump has more power than other countries at this time — allies of the US’s enemies — so they are willing to listen to him and take him seriously,” Bremmer told CNBC in an emailed statement.
“Trump also has a lot of countries and people lining up to support his ‘my country’ approach to governing,” Bremmer added.
“He had strong relations with Israel and the Gulf countries in his first term, but now expand to Italy, Hungary, Argentina, El Salvador… and many sections of the population in many other countries. appear at the G20 and everyone laughs behind him ,” he said.
“Today’s G-Zero world is a very different place,” added Bremmer, referring to his vision of a world where no single power or group of powers is ready and able to drive global policy to maintain global stability.
Market analysts agree that while Trump’s hatred of China, the US’s biggest economic enemy, is well known, his long-standing disagreement with NATO and his anger over the trade deficit with Europe make its continental allies a target for Trump. very bold, and potentially brutal, trade and security policies.
European countries make up the majority of NATO and the EU is the biggest ally of the US as a bloc.
“Here in Europe, we’re worried,” market analyst Bill Blain (if he’s not independent we’d say the company/org he’s from) said in an emailed statement last week. “However, the rest of the world is not affected by the changes that are coming.”
“It is clear that the geopolitical lines are being redrawn. So will the global economic factors be redefined,” added Blain.
2025-01-20 06:14:32
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