After winning the election and entering the White House, most presidents at some point break a campaign promise. Donald J. Trump won’t wait that long. He will break a key campaign promise when he takes the oath of office.

When he wants to return to power in the fall, Mr. Trump has repeatedly promised as impossible that it will have major political consequences: He will end the war in Ukraine in 24 hours. Not just in 24 hours – he would have done it before he was sworn in as president.

“Before I got to the Oval Office“As soon as we win the presidency, the worst war between Russia and Ukraine will end,” Trump vowed at the June meeting. “I will end it before I become president,” he said in a television interview and Vice President Kamala Harris in September. “I will establish Russia-Ukraine when I will be the President,” he also said during the podcast in October.

This was not a comment, no one did not repeat it. It was the main point of his public debate when it came to the biggest land war in Europe since the fall of Nazi Germany. However, he not only failed to keep his promise; he has not been known to make a major effort to end the war since he was elected in November, and the war will continue even on Monday afternoon when President-elect Trump becomes President Trump for the second time.

“Wars cannot be solved with bombast,” Senator Richard Blumenthal, Democrat of Connecticut, said in an interview. “And the missing link in his thinking is his failure to understand that the Ukrainian people will only come to the negotiating table from a position of strength. In fact, he has underestimated their role, and that’s why they didn’t find a solution before they started.”

Mr. Trump, of course, is no stranger to hyperbole. Asserting that he could stop the war easily, quickly and single-handedly with the proverbial snap of his fingers was consistent with the long-standing I-alone-can-fix-it image that Mr. Trump likes to present to the public.

But over and over again for almost a decade in national politics, the rhetoric has been real and the big promises have fallen by the wayside. And while other presidents have paid the price for breaking promises (just ask George HW Bush about reading his lips on taxes), Mr. Trump plows ahead with no apparent consequences.

For example, they did not build enough its most famous border wallmuch less force Mexico to pay. He did not destroy it federal budget deficit or reduce lack of national trade. He did not establish the permanent peace between Israel and Palestine, which he said would be “not as difficult as people have thought for years.” They did not repeal and replace Obamacare. He did not promote economic growth “4, 5 and even 6 percent.”

For the second term, Trump supported it to force a temporary ceasefire in Gaza which went into effect on Sunday, sending delegations to pressure Israel to agree to the long-standing ban President Biden first put on the table. While the deal was pushed by Biden’s team, Trump’s lobbying took a major role in getting it done, a major victory for the incoming president.

But Ukraine is in many ways the most difficult for Trump because he is just getting started. Unlike Gaza, there is no peace plan in place from the past, with all the problems, policies and plans already planned, for Trump to take and cross the finish line.

This month, Keith Kellogg, the new president’s special envoy for the war in Ukraine, suspended plans to visit Kyiv, the capital of Ukraine, and other European cities to begin an investigation into the situation until it is established. He told Fox News that he hoped settle within 100 dayswhich would be 100 times as much as Mr. Trump had originally promised even if he won.

“It was an empty promise,” said Kathryn Stoner, director of the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies at Stanford University. “The only person who can end the war in 24 hours is Vladimir Putin, but he could have done it years ago. Any negotiation will take more than 24 hours regardless of what time Trump starts.”

Michael Kimmage, the author of the book “Collisions,” about the Russia-Ukraine war, and the new director of the Wilson Center’s Kennan Institute, said that Trump’s promises were always given “too freely” and were probably too emotional. sending signals rather than being interpreted precisely.

“His intentions with this language can be as follows: to inform the government that his approach to Russia and to the war will be different from that of Biden, that his main goal is to end the war and not to win Ukraine” and ” that he will be in charge and not the deep state that causes eternal wars of the US.”

These signs have left some wondering how Trump thinks he will get a deal, but given it a longtime associate of President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia, his hostility to Ukraine and his refusal of US military aid to Kyiv, experts expect that whatever he wants will be in Moscow’s favor. Vice President J.D. Vance has proposed allowing Russia to keep 20 percent of Ukraine it illegally seized and forcing Ukraine to agree to neutrality in exchange for cooperation with the West, which is in line with Russia’s demands.

Asked by email why Mr. Trump did not follow through on his campaign promise to end the war before his inauguration, Karoline Leavitt, Mr. Trump’s incoming White House press secretary, said: in his second term.”

Since his election in November, Mr. Trump met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and has spoken about meeting Mr. After Putin was installed.

Representative Michael WaltzThe Florida Republican, who is expected to become Trump’s national security adviser, stressed Sunday that resolving the conflict in Ukraine remains a priority for the new president, calling the war “literally a meat grinder” similar to World War I. The battles of World War III are “escalating.”

But Mr. Waltz’s thoughts were expressed at this time appearing on “Face the Nation” on CBS it sounded like a strategy that would take a while: “The bottom line: Number one, where do we get to the table? Second, how do we drive them to the table? And then three, what is the basis of the agreement?”

“President Trump is clear: This war must stop,” Mr. Waltz said. “Everyone, I think, should have one.”

Even if everyone had that goal – and there’s a good chance it’s doubtful – the words could still be thorny. While NATO membership is thought to be out of the cards, Ukraine wants major security guarantees from the United States and Europe, especially if it is forced to leave its territory, which Russia would oppose.

Then there are questions of revenge and consequences. Who would pay to rebuild the Ukrainian cities and villages that were destroyed? Possible action at the International Criminal Court arrest warrants for Putin and other Russian figures that are considered war crimes? Will the United States and Europe ease sanctions imposed after a full-scale attack by 2022, and if so under what conditions? Who will work to resolve the conflict and what will happen if the ceasefire is violated?

Trump has never publicly addressed such questions in depth, leaving many wondering. However, he expressed dismay at the ongoing situation in Ukraine and a desire to find solutions, whatever they may be.

“On the other hand – and this may shed some light on the administration of the administration – management management of management of management of management of management of management the administration said. “The less we know what they’re doing, the better they can fix it.”